Amitabh Tiwari – Author, NDTV.com

Opinion: Maharashtra Muddle - Who's The Real Sena And The Real NCP For Voters?

Amitabh Tiwari | Wednesday March 20, 2024

Though Eknath Shinde and Ajit Pawar have the support of a majority of MLAs, will loyal voters of their respective parties side with them?

Opinion: BJP vs INDIA Bloc - Both Are Ready, But One Has More Lost Opportunities

Amitabh Tiwari | Tuesday March 19, 2024

Both Congress and BJP have sealed alliances on roughly the same number of seats. The opportunity lost, however, is higher for the Congress.

Opinion: Simultaneous Polls May Help Regional Parties Much More Than BJP

Amitabh Tiwari | Monday March 18, 2024

The results of the 1967 elections and the simultaneous polls in a few states in 2014 and 2019 show that strong regional parties tend to benefit in the Lok Sabha elections when polls are held together.

Opinion: Election 2024 Is Not A Done Deal. Three Voting Patterns Show Why

Amitabh Tiwari | Friday March 15, 2024

A large number of late deciders and a small share of 'loyal' voters, coupled with a focus on local candidates, can often alter the final outcome.

Opinion: Haryana - Will BJP's Experiment With A Non-Jat Chief Minister Pay Off?

Amitabh Tiwari | Wednesday March 13, 2024

Haryana now is among the few states where the BJP has experimented with installing chief ministers who don't come from a dominant community.

Opinion: In Andhra's TDP-BJP Alliance, Stakes Are Higher For Naidu

Amitabh Tiwari | Monday March 11, 2024

With BJP on its side, the TDP hopes to give a tough fight to the formidable Jagan Reddy. However, a not-so-good performance can lead to an existential crisis for Naidu's party.

Opinion: A Simple Majority Is Very Much In BJP's Reach. Here Are The Numbers

Amitabh Tiwari | Sunday March 10, 2024

There are a few methods through which parties distinguish strong seats from the weak. Data show that the BJP, in comparison to the Congress, has a higher number of strong and relatively strong seats and much fewer difficult or weak seats.

Opinion: Why Is Naveen Patnaik's BJD Keen To Rejoin BJP-led NDA?

Amitabh Tiwari | Friday March 08, 2024

Surveys indicate a close contest in Odisha, with the BJD projected to win 11 seats and the BJP ten. Also, the BJD faces no significant anti-incumbency in the state elections. But there are other reasons why it may consider joining the NDA...

Opinion: BJP's First List Ticks Most Boxes, Sets The Momentum For Finale

Amitabh Tiwari | Monday March 04, 2024

While the list balances demographic considerations, the BJP has refrained from granting tickets to several MPs, signalling a change in an effort to neutralise local-level anti-incumbency.

Opinion: Himachal Crisis-Congress Evens Score, But Can It Stop Rebellion?

Amitabh Tiwari | Thursday February 29, 2024

For the continuity of the government, the Congress needs to ensure that there is no further rebellion. After all, it doesn't have a big cushion to fall back on-it has a strength of 34 against a simple majority of 32.

Opinion: AAP-Congress Alliance Is Good Optics, But It Can Confuse Voters

Amitabh Tiwari | Tuesday February 27, 2024

The experience of CPI(M)-Congress alliance in the past showed that it's best not to confuse voters with alliances that keep changing according to the demands of the time. It's akin to taking voters for a ride.

Opinion: BJP's Rajya Sabha Names Signal Change. Congress's, Only Inertia

Amitabh Tiwari | Tuesday February 20, 2024

The BJP's list gives confidence to its cadre that everyone has a chance. The Congress, on the other hand, seems to have repeated most of its candidates in an attempt to adjust heavyweights.

Opinion: Electoral Bonds Ban Will Do Little When Cash Is King

Amitabh Tiwari | Monday February 19, 2024

Cash is the main source of election funding in India. Electoral bonds accounted for just around 10% of the total amount spent by parties and candidates in a single election cycle of five years from 2018 to 2023.

Opinion: Bihar Trust Vote-Nitish's Return Strengthens BJP's 2024 Bid

Amitabh Tiwari | Monday February 12, 2024

With the JD(U)s re-entry, the NDA's seat tally is back to around 350 seats, close to the 2019 tally of 353. The ruling alliance now needs just 50 more seats to cross the magical mark of 400.

Opinion: Election 2024 - Why PM Modi And The BJP Are So Confident About Their 'Mission 400'

Amitabh Tiwari | Wednesday February 07, 2024

An opposition in serious disarray, a large pool of loyal labharthis, and continued support of OBCs bolster the BJP's prospects in the upcoming Lok Sabha election.

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