9 years ago
The "Exit Poll" analysis and forecasts is based on Polling Booth Exit Polls: a sample size of 76020 voters from randomly selected polling booths across Bihar in all 243 constituencies. As voters emerged from these polling booths a randomised selection of voters were questioned on which party they voted for.
Suparna Singh: you can't say my underworld is fine but yours isn't: @ShekharGupta on air now. #Bihar Elections 2015.
https://t.co/1lLgcgz0ja
Suparna Singh: How could BJP campaign on "jungle raj" while allied with LJP, asks @ShekharGupta on @ndtv now. #NitishReturns
Suparna Singh: .@NitishKumar and Lalu can discuss differences in an idiom particular to their relationship: JDU's Pavan Verma on @ndtv. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: not sure if social harmony or justice has been produced or accomplished with this election: @_YogendraYadav on @ndtv now.
Suparna Singh: Not sure Bihar is headed for higher plane of governance with Lalu holding reins in some way: @_YogendraYadav on @ndtv now. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: On air, @PrannoyRoyNDTV refers to @DrChandanMitra's strong comments on Amit Shah & #BiharResults in this op-ed https://t.co/FBdOfsRqcL
Suparna Singh: Lalu spoke of Muslims, Yadavs, religion and caste. He played these cards and succeeded, says @PrakashJavdekar. on air now. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: strike rate of RJD and JDU was 80%, Congress' was 60%: @PrannoyRoyNDTV to Sachin Pilot. on air now. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: "after delhi, now Bihar -is the honeymoon over? Are you learning lessons?" @PrannoyRoyNDTV to @PrakashJavdekar. on air now.
Suparna Singh: These were aberrations, says @PrakashJavdekar about alleged attempts/comments to polarize voters. on air now on @ndtv.
Suparna Singh: brave of @PrakashJavdekar to discuss BJP defeat, gracious to offer full support from centre to new Bihar govt. On air now.
Suparna Singh: we apologize to you, for all the confusion.Our objective is to bring you the news accurately.Thank you for staying with us: @PrannoyRoyNDTV
Suparna Singh: .@PrannoyRoyNDTV :we're looking into why the data from reliable agency was wrong, and we take responsibility & we apologize. #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: .@PrannoyRoyNDTV opens his show with this: the last time we made an error as big as this was 32 years ago. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: #BiharResults & the many miscalculations of Amit Shah -by @RanaAyyub https://t.co/7fgaDksjZy
Suparna Singh: .@ArvindKejriwal to @ndtv on #BiharResults : If hate politics, intolerance does not stop, BJP will be finished
Suparna Singh: 6 big takeaways from BJP defeat in Bihar- @ShashiTharoor 's analysis https://t.co/kt0BxL2GkG. #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: .@DrChandanMitra's honest analysis of BJP defeat in Bihar, says Amit Shah-crafted "high-pitched" campaign failed
https://t.co/w2WiyV9r8e
Vikram Chandra: What will be the national impact of the #BiharVerdict? On fringe, cabinet, policies and reform? Anchoring a special show from 5-7 pm.
Vikram Chandra: And a Twitter troll is someone who claims to love his country while actively hating most of his fellow citizens. https://t.co/pL6tQHWfwW
Suparna Singh: .@AmitShah meets party leaders for prelim analysis of Bihar defeat: sources to @ndtv. #BiharResults
Vikram Chandra: Waiting to hear from Lalu! It was being said that he would weigh Nitish down, but with 76 seats he is the biggest winner.
Vikram Chandra: Rahul Gandhi: this is a victory against an ideology that divides people. The country belongs to everyone.
Suparna Singh: stop campaigning, get to work. Hit the accelarator, get this show on the road: Rahul Gandhi to PM. #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: Whole country is sending clear message to @narendramodi that it cannot be divided: Rahul Gandhi. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: Whole country is sending clear message to @nared
that it cannot be divided: Rahul Gandhi. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: "How can Bihar be a referendum on the centre, but not Maharashtra and Haryana, which we won?" @NalinSKohli on air now. #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: didn't PM as star campaigner pay off in Maharashtra and Haryana? not a mistake to centre-strage him in #Bihar, says @NalinSKohli on @ndtv.
Suparna Singh: course correction remarks are premature, says @NalinSKohli on @ndtv now, reacting to @PChidambaram_IN comments. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: #BiharResults: the new @NitishKumar hoardings go up. Photo courtesy @KetkiAngreNDTV https://t.co/TqgWBlXyIs
Suparna Singh: Nitish is most popular leader in Bihar, Lalu is the leader with the largest social base: @PChidambaram_IN on air now. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: Chirag Paswan speaks honestly - We realized some mistakes during campaigning, tried to change. This is Nitish's victory. #BiharResults
Vikram Chandra: With the RJD having more seats than the JDU, Nitish will have his challenging moments as CM!
Suparna Singh: Nitish's numbers are lower than Lalu, he will have hands full with Lalu, must avoid national stage: @ShekharGupta on @ndtv. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: Sack those making hate remarks: @seshadrichari advice to BJP . #BiharResults.
Vikram Chandra: Seshadri Chari: comments by fringe elements are not even the Hindutva line. Course correction needs to happen.
Suparna Singh: PM Modi calls @NitishKumar , congratulates him: reports. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: currently, RJD at 77, JDU at 66 in Bihar. Lalu's big day? #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: Sena barely able to contain gloating, describes Nitish as hero, says it's PM's loss, and "Uddhav has congratulated Nitish". #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: "we have to think about how to perform better in next election": @rammadhavbjp tells @ @SreenivasanJain "will take lessons from here"
Suparna Singh: Elections not won or lost on one factor:@rammadhavbjp to @SreenivasanJain when asked if this will impact AmitShah leadership. #BiharResults
Vikram Chandra: Sharad Yadav tells NDTV that efforts to communalise the elections failed. The BJP tried to hold the tail of a cow, he says.
Suparna Singh: Shiv Sena quick to stick it in to BJP. Sena's Sanjay Raut says Nitish emerges as a political hero, acc to ANI. #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: Honourable of you to appear and discuss defeat, says Prannoy to @PrakashJavdekar on @ndtv. #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: if we are losing, it is PURELY because of the math of opposition unity: @PrakashJavdekar to @ndtv. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: TREND NOW - 158 to Grand Alliance, 74 to BJP. "We expected more"- Pavan Verma of JDU. #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: These are state elections, this is no reflection on central govt or leadership: @PrakashJavdekar to @ndtv. #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: I kept cautioning TV channels, pleased i am correct: Pavan Verma of JDU on @ndtv. #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: "BJP tried to hold tail of cow & win,but failed. Mohan Bhagwat statement greatly damaged BJP": Sharad Yadav to @SreenivasanJain .
Suparna Singh: Even if Nitish wins fewer seats than Lalu, he will still be CM: Sharad Yadav to @SreenivasanJain. #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: members of the same family have voted differently in this election: @PrakashJavdekar to @ndtv. #BiharResults.
Vikram Chandra: Now looking crystal clear. The JDU alliance will win the Bihar election.
Suparna Singh: all channels now showing Grand Alliance ahead #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: #BiharResults: Grand Alliance ahead with 112, BJP+ at 106
Suparna Singh: Neck-and-neck now. #BiharResults. Consortium used by national channels correcting to local picture now, says @_YogendraYadav on @NDTV
Suparna Singh: at 10 am, BJP leading in 108, Grand Alliance in 107. #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: Celebrations get a little quieter at BJP office in Patna, pick up at JDU office #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: #BiharResults: Lok SAbha & Rajya SAbha TV also showing different results, @vikramchandra points out. w/@soniandtv
https://t.co/gUSFW3nSFk
Vikram Chandra: So far only the exit polls were confused. Now counting is confusing too!
Suparna Singh: we're rechecking all data. This discrepancy on different channels is a first, but we have vigorous balances and checks: @PrannoyRoyNDTV .
Vikram Chandra: Rajya Sabha TV says 108-106 in favour of JDU+. Lok Sabha TV says 88-70 in favour of BJP+ !!
Suparna Singh: Never seen this big a discrepancy between channels on results: @_YogendraYadav on @ndtv now.
Suparna Singh: .@PrannoyRoyNDTV and guests on air now explaining why there are discrepancies in forecast on channels. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: Nice to see @ndtv trending :). #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: Nitish is sounding more & more like Digvijaya Singh in third innings, aiming to please "Delhi drawing room crowd": @ShekharGupta on @ndtv.
Suparna Singh: other parties undersetimate the kind of firepower and commitment BJP brings to election campaigns: @ShekharGupta on @ndtv. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: all parties have to accept now that BJP has become the dominant political force in India: @ShekharGupta to @ndtv. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: Modi-Shah approach to campaigning has clear style now - go big, go for broke: @ShekharGupta on @ndtv.
Suparna Singh: Slight change in trend, gap narrowing a little, but BJP still set for victory: experts on @ndtv. #BiharResults
Suparna Singh: .@NitishKumar's 2 big mistakes: stepping down as CM, then removing Manjhi -@ShekharGupta on @ndtv. #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: Fireworks and colour in the air at BJP Patna office to celebrate, reports @KetkiAngreNDTV. #BiharResults
Vikram Chandra: Big question now: will BJP+ lead increase with later rounds as usually happens? Or shrink as remote rural seats come in?
Suparna Singh: "Maha defeat of Mahagathbandhan": @ShahnawazBJP to @ndtv. #BiharResults
Vikram Chandra: At this point, both RJD and Congress have a better strike rate than the JDU within the Mahagathbandhan. Nitish taking a big hit.
Suparna Singh: So it's BJP+ for #Bihar. Trend will only get stronger in next 30 mins, say experts on @ndtv.
Suparna Singh: projection at 9 am: BJP+ get 145-149 seats, form #Bihar govt. #BiharResults
Vikram Chandra: At this stage, looks like the BJP+ could be heading for 145-149 seats, says @PrannoyRoyNDTV. #BiharVerdict
Suparna Singh: IF this trend continues, BJP+ gets 145-149 of 243 seats, says @PrannoyRoyNDTV , cautions it's still early.
Suparna Singh: Trend is continuing, BJP consistently ahead. BJP is clearly forming next govt in #Bihar at this rate: @PrannoyRoyNDTV
Suparna Singh: JDU is losing the most seats at this point, this is v significant: @PrannoyRoyNDTV. #BiharResults.
Suparna Singh: as BJP surges ahead in leads, @laluprasadrjd supporters send fish to his house to wish him luck, reports ndtv's Alok Pandey
Vikram Chandra: Clear advantage to the BJP alliance at this stage of the counting. Well ahead of the JDU+. #BiharVerdict
Suparna Singh: if this momentum continues, BJP will form the next govt in Bihar: @PrannoyRoyNDTV.
Suparna Singh: Clear advantage now for BJP, says @_YogendraYadav on @ndtv. BJP+ gains 7, ahead in 28 of 41 seats.
Suparna Singh: #BiharResults: 27 leads, BJP+ ahead in 16, it's a gain of 2.
Suparna Singh: #BiharResult: 25 leads so far, BJP ahead in 15, gain of 2. Track on ndtv app, ndtv,com, NDTV 24X7
Suparna Singh: #bihar 30 leads: momentum picking up now for BJP+, says @PrannoyRoyNDTV Gain of 4, ahead in 19.
Suparna Singh: #bihar: Lalu's son Tejashwi leading (in a seat currently held by JDU).
Suparna Singh: #Bihar early leads now : bjp+ ahead in 7, Grand Alliance 4
Suparna Singh: #bihar early leads. BJP+ have 6, Grand Alliance 4
Suparna Singh: #bihar: 3 leads, BJP+ gaining 2. All this from Phase 1.
Suparna Singh: #Bihar lead: Alauli - LJP (Paswan's brother) leading in a JDU seat.
Suparna Singh: sort of money poured into this election in #Bihar never seen before: @_YogendraYadav to @ndtv.
Suparna Singh: Am not desirous of it, but if asked to be Chief Minister, I will accept, says an accommodating Jitan Ram Manjhi to ANI. #Bihar
Suparna Singh: #Bihar: Today is about battle between desperation and development, says @sambitswaraj acc to @ANI_news
Suparna Singh: This #Bihar election historic because there was no violence, it was very clean,: Chief Election Commissioner to @ndtv
Suparna Singh: "Khao piyo noch ke, vote dalo soch ke"- Chief Elction Commissioner laughs when told about this #Bihar saying. On air on @ndtv
Suparna Singh: Enrolled 50 lakh more women this year for #Bihar: Chief Election Commission on air now on @ndtv.
This election was a polarising election. Last two phases were very polarising. Senior journalist Shekhar Gupta
Your exit polls are wide off the mark: Pawan Verma, JD(U)'s Rajya Sabha MP
I don't think last phase was communal, English newspapers, Moody's everybody was talking about it but Bihar wasn't talking about communal factors: BJP's Seshadri Chari
For phase 5, the Grand Alliance hit hard by a 9% swing away, BJP sees a 10% swing in its favour, phenomenal and a game-changer for the party, according to the exit poll.
Nitish-Lalu lose 17 seats from 2014 to get 28 seats. The BJP gains 7 to get 27 seats.
Nitish-Lalu lose 17 seats from 2014 to get 28 seats. The BJP gains 7 to get 27 seats.
Phase 4 on November 1 saw 55 seats being decided in the region of Tirhut. Nitish-Lalu, according to our exit poll forecast, get 21 seats, a gain of three from the national election in 2014. The BJP and allies lose six to get 31. This area is a strong support base for the BJP.
"Bihar is in the mood for change, people have voted beyond caste"- Union Minister Ravi Shankar Prasad to NDTV
Suparna Singh: .@ndtv #Bihar exit poll phase 1 and 2: BJP gains compared to 2014, though Grand Alliance was thought to have done well in these phases.
NDTV's exit poll from Bihar shows the Grand Alliance winning phase 1. Of the 49 seats that voted on October 12, the partnership between Nitish Kumar and Lalu Yadav wins 28 seats (down 5 from the national election), compared to 20 for the BJP (up 5 from last year) .
This region of Magadh in South East Bihar is a stronghold for the parties of Nitish Kumar and Lalu, with a high population of Other Backward Castes and a small percentage of Muslims and Forward castes. The Manjhi effect hit the Grand Alliance hard here - Nitish Kumar paid heavily for his decision to remove the Mahadalit leader as Chief Minister.
Bihar voted in five phases for 243 seats. The results will be counted on Sunday morning.
NDTV's exit poll sampled 76,000 people in all 243 constituencies, a massive sample.
Phase 2 on October 16 saw 32 seats being decided, once again in an area dominated by Nitish and Lalu's parties, the JDU and RJD. NDTV's exit poll shows the Grand Alliance winning 12 seats, down nine from last year in the Lok Sabha election. The BJP, on the other hand, gets 19 seats, up eight from last year.
Phase 3 on October 28 had 50 seats. The Grand Alliance gets 21 seats, down seven from the 2014 national election, and the BJP gaining 6 seats to get 28.
This region of Magadh in South East Bihar is a stronghold for the parties of Nitish Kumar and Lalu, with a high population of Other Backward Castes and a small percentage of Muslims and Forward castes. The Manjhi effect hit the Grand Alliance hard here - Nitish Kumar paid heavily for his decision to remove the Mahadalit leader as Chief Minister.
Bihar voted in five phases for 243 seats. The results will be counted on Sunday morning.
NDTV's exit poll sampled 76,000 people in all 243 constituencies, a massive sample.
Phase 2 on October 16 saw 32 seats being decided, once again in an area dominated by Nitish and Lalu's parties, the JDU and RJD. NDTV's exit poll shows the Grand Alliance winning 12 seats, down nine from last year in the Lok Sabha election. The BJP, on the other hand, gets 19 seats, up eight from last year.
Phase 3 on October 28 had 50 seats. The Grand Alliance gets 21 seats, down seven from the 2014 national election, and the BJP gaining 6 seats to get 28.
Suparna Singh: #Bihar Result may not impact national numbers overall but it will impact national political tempo and mood: @_YogendraYadav to @ndtv.
If Bihar is a trailer, UP will be worrying: Yogendra Yadav to NDTV
Suparna Singh: If BJP loses #Bihar, won't make much difference in elections that follow: @_YogendraYadav to @PrannoyRoyNDTV
Suparna Singh: #Bihar campaigning by BJP typical of new aggressive tactics, works well with young voters: @ShekharGupta to @ndtv
Suparna Singh: #Bihar stakes not v high if BJP loses, its future or policy won't be hit hard: @Seshadrichari to @ndtv
Suparna Singh: @ndtv #Bihar exit poll - 76,000 people sampled across the state in all 243 constituencies. Massive size. @PrannoyRoyNDTV on air now.
Methodology for the Bihar Assembly Exit Poll
The "Exit Poll" analysis and forecasts is based on Polling Booth Exit Polls: a sample size of 76,020 voters from randomly selected polling booths across Bihar in all 243 constituencies.
The "Exit Poll" analysis and forecasts is based on Polling Booth Exit Polls: a sample size of 76,020 voters from randomly selected polling booths across Bihar in all 243 constituencies.
