New Delhi: Defence Minister AK Antony's statement in Parliament on Thursday blaming special troops of Pakistani Army for attack on the Indian Army patrol in Poonch area early on Tuesday has brought the curtain down on the controversy, at least temporarily.
That said the Indian security establishment, especially the Indian Army will have to look within and review some of the procedures and tactics that are being employed along the Line of Control (LoC). When the January beheading of an Indian soldier happened, there were murmurs that there could have been tactical errors on part of the patrol party that allowed the Pakistani Border Action Team (BAT) to kill the two Indian soldiers.
A couple of questions need quick answers for the situation to be rectified. One, why was the area domination patrol strength only six and not the minimum ten (a section) as is the standard practice? Some reports have suggested that the outgoing battalion (21 Bihar) was showing the incoming unit (14 Maratha) key locations and a bunker ahead of the fence, but well within the LoC. If that be so, why take the new unit on a familiarisation exercise at night?
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No doubt, all these possible shortcomings are being looked into. Surely the commanders on ground would know that the most vulnerable period on the LoC is during the change over of units. The old unit is in transfer mode, the new one is on unfamiliar territory. That's when the adversary is known to strike. In 2010, in the Uri sector, two Indian soldiers were beheaded in exactly these circumstances. That Indian troops hit back appropriately with similar tactics is also well known.
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Sample what one veteran emailed me in the immediate aftermath of the killing of five soldiers this week: "If I were the CO, I would have launched a decisive counter attack to make the enemy pay with or without permission from my superiors and to hell with the consequences. Such actions are not without precedents. In the early 60s, there was an incident of beheading in Blue Sector (J&K) which was answered by an immediate counter attack by the battalion after which there was no such incident till the battalion was de-inducted. The Company commander later on rose to be an Army Commander. And then there was a Corps Commander (who later on became the Chief) who ordered punitive action with telling effect without any sanction from the Army Commander.
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2013, admittedly is not the 1960s but bold local commanders are known to be appropriately aggressive even in the past half a dozen years. Of late, however, there is a tendency to be ultra cautious, to look for directions from the top before taking any step considered out of the box.
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They will have to revisit the old adage: what is militarily desirable is not necessarily politically correct. They must know that mixing political expediency with military action is suicidal. Only then Indian Army officers can regain the confidence of their men and thereby the Indian citizens.
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This calendar year alone, there have been 57 ceasefire violations by Pakistan, a whopping 80 per cent jump from 2012. The number of infiltration attempts have also risen dramatically. But more than anything else, it is the intention of the Pakistani Army and ISI to keep the pot boiling in Kashmir that has not changed, ceasefire or no ceasefire.
Northern Army Commander Lt Gen KT Parnaik had told me in an interview on June 17, less than two months ago: "We have to understand that the infrastructure that supports and propels this entire proxy war across the border is intact, whether they are the training camps or the launching pads or the communication facilities. Secondly, the continued efforts of the establishment in Pakistan to push the infiltrators across the LoC continue.
"The number of ceasefire violations that we have had and a large number of incidents in which they had tried to breach the LoC and the fence has been detected in the past. So I feel as long as the intention on the infrastructure doesn't change we cannot keep our guard down. While these figures have marginally changed over a period of time, it is not the numbers that are important, it is the fact that they continue to be there and every season these camps get activated for training and motivation. Intelligence agencies have confirmed that these camps continue to be active. So they are talking about 42 camps across and 4,000-5,000 is generally the strength.
"They come for training and go away, but the important part is why should the adversary maintain these camps, why should they give them the patronage? They get arms, equipment, state of the art communication equipment and wherewithal to carry out infiltration. This itself highlights the problems that exist today. Despite a number of dialogues, there is no improvement, that's why we can't let our guard down."
Words of a professional who foresaw what was in store.
Despite all the professed willingness showed by Pakistan's newly-elected Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif to take the peace process with India forward, as long as the Pakistani Army and ISI along with groups like Lashkar-e-Toiba, remain inimical to India, no amount of dialogue will calm the situation on the LoC.
The Indian establishment, especially those pushing for talks with Pakistan at any cost must take this into account. Can Mr Sharif enure the closure of these camps? Can New Delhi hold Islamabad accountable to the promise it made in January 2004 that Pakistan will not allow its territory or territory controlled by it to be used by terrorists for anti-India activities?
If there is no guarantee on this count, no amount of conferences on the sidelines of UN General Assembly or otherwise, are going to bear any fruit.
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