But the story is likely to be in the swing of votes, even the smallest.
Conversely, just a two per cent swing in favour of the Trinamool will make it cross the 200 mark.
Mamata Banerjee's party had fought the 2011 assembly elections in partnership with the Congress. The Trinamool dominated the election, winning 184 seats. The Congress had won 42 and the Left lost a state it had ruled for three decades, winning only 62.
In 2014, amid a Narendra Modi wave, the BJP gained primarily from a 12 per cent swing away from the Left. If the Left can recover even half or six per cent of that, it could mean a gain of 55 seats for the Left-Congress combine.
The opposition unity, which means that the Left and Congress do not cut into each other's votes this time like they did in 2014, could also potentially mean a gain of 41 assembly seats over their tally from two years ago.
The two parties together had the equivalent of 56 assembly seats in the 2014 general elections. Had they contested that election together, they could have dominated in 97 assembly segments, though still not impacting the Trinamool's dominance.
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