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New Delhi:
The southwest monsoon this year will be normal, with many parts of north India expected to receive good rainfall while parts of south India may experience weak precipitation, Skymet, a private weather forecasting agency has predicted.
The El Nino is also unlikely to affect the monsoon as it its impact will reduce after summer. Monsoon is also expected to arrive on May 27 in Kerala, four days before its normal date.
"There seems to be weakness in Tamil Nadu, Rayalseema, south interior Karnataka, east Madhya Pradesh and Arunachal Pradesh. Good amounts of rainfall is expected in Punjab, Haryana, west Uttar Pradesh and over the west coast," the forecasting agency said.
It has forecast the monsoon at 102 per cent (error margin of +/-4 per cent) of the long period average (LPA) of 887 mm for the four-month period from June to September.
"The El Nino is likely to continue into the summer months and taper down there after. It is not likely to have an adverse impact on monsoon performance," Skymet CEO Jatin Singh said.
"Monsoon onset is expected to be early and fairly strong. Pre-monsoon rain will also be strong across the country. Unseasonal rainfall will continue well into May," he said.
Last year, India experienced below normal rainfall while several parts of north India received deficient rainfall.
The El Nino is also unlikely to affect the monsoon as it its impact will reduce after summer. Monsoon is also expected to arrive on May 27 in Kerala, four days before its normal date.
"There seems to be weakness in Tamil Nadu, Rayalseema, south interior Karnataka, east Madhya Pradesh and Arunachal Pradesh. Good amounts of rainfall is expected in Punjab, Haryana, west Uttar Pradesh and over the west coast," the forecasting agency said.
It has forecast the monsoon at 102 per cent (error margin of +/-4 per cent) of the long period average (LPA) of 887 mm for the four-month period from June to September.
"The El Nino is likely to continue into the summer months and taper down there after. It is not likely to have an adverse impact on monsoon performance," Skymet CEO Jatin Singh said.
"Monsoon onset is expected to be early and fairly strong. Pre-monsoon rain will also be strong across the country. Unseasonal rainfall will continue well into May," he said.
Last year, India experienced below normal rainfall while several parts of north India received deficient rainfall.
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