A government-appointed committee has said that India has crossed the coronavirus peak and predicted that the epidemic could be brought under control by early next year if all measures are followed. But the onset of winter and upcoming festivals may increase susceptibility to the infection and laxity at this point can again lead to a spike. Relaxation in safety measures can lead to a significant rise. It can be as much as "upto 26 lakh cases a month," the committee said, adding that only 30 per cent of the population has developed immunity so far.