Uttar Pradesh: Exit Polls Vs Ground Reality?

The exit polls in UP predict a comfortable win for the BJP - some even suggest a massive sweep. This underscores what those reporting elections in the Modi era have found on ground: that we are entering a new phase of Indian politics, where popular discontent does not equate to electoral choice, and governance has seemingly been delinked from voting preferences. What is the ground reality of UP governance record - and how does it fit in in context of the exit poll predictions?