Climate Disaster Could Strike Anytime, Study Warns

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6 Aug 2024

Researchers from Technical University of Munich and Potsdam Institute warn climate tipping points are unpredictable


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The study suggests climate disaster could occur at any time within the next 6,000 years


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They used the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) as an example of potential collapse


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The AMOC weakens with greenhouse gases and ice melting, affecting temperatures and sea levels


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Previous data predicted AMOC collapse between 2025 and 2095, but new study shows broader uncertainty


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Tipping times for AMOC ranged from 2050 to 8065, creating a wide prediction window


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Climate tipping points like polar ice melt and rainforest collapse are also highly uncertain


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Incomplete data and unknown mechanisms make reliable predictions about tipping points very difficult


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Lead author Maya Ben-Yami calls for better data and understanding of climate systems


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Co-author Niklas Boers stresses reducing greenhouse gas emissions to mitigate climate impact despite uncertainties


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