Dilma Rousseff faces the possible end of her political career, Brazil's problems appear far from over
Brasilia, Brazil:
President Dilma Rousseff is expected to be suspended from office next week for the start of an impeachment trial that will bring Brazil's political crisis to a climax.
But while Rousseff faces the possible end of her political career, Brazil's problems appear far from over. Here's a look at how Latin America's biggest country got into the mess -- and what could happen next.
What Rousseff's accused of
The impeachment case against Brazil's first female president rests on charges that she illegally juggled government accounts and took state loans to mask the depth of shortfalls during her 2014 reelection.
She says that's not an impeachable offense -- that it was actually an accounting trick used consistently by previous governments.
But the impeachment drive is also fueled by massive disillusion in Brazil over a steep recession and revelations of a corruption network involving top politicians and business executives who colluded to steal from state oil company Petrobras.
Huge anti-government street rallies over the last year underlined that discontent.
Then the breakup of an uncomfortable coalition between her leftist Workers' Party and the center-right PMDB left Rousseff helpless when the lower house of Congress voted in April on sending her to the Senate for possible trial.
What happens in the Senate?
On Friday a committee recommended that Rousseff face impeachment.
Next Wednesday, all 81 senators will start voting on whether to open that trial. The process could stretch into Thursday or beyond.
Only a simple majority is needed and analysts are near certain that the pro-impeachment camp will prevail.
That will trigger Rousseff's suspension for 180 days and Vice President Michel Temer, who has gone from coalition partner to principal opponent, would take over as acting president.
Rousseff would quit the executive offices but can stay in her presidential residence on half pay. Temer is expected to fire her ministers and install his own government.
A trial could take months to unfold, ending with a vote on whether to impeach the president. This time a two thirds majority would be needed.
If Rousseff is removed from office, Temer would take her place until new elections scheduled for 2018.
Analysts are less certain about the outcome of the final vote, though most think it is more likely that Rousseff would be ejected.
Would Rousseff's exit solve everything?
The short answer is no.
A president who is highly unpopular would be gone. But few ordinary Brazilians see Temer as a savior, with a Datafolha poll in April finding only two percent of the country would vote for him in a presidential election.
The constitutional lawyer would face an enraged leftist opposition and much of the same mess that sank Rousseff, especially a floundering economy that grew too dependent on high oil and other commodity prices.
The Petrobras corruption scandal has also yet to play out.
Prosecutors are investigating everybody from Rousseff to another opposition leader, Aecio Neves. Temer has been named several times as a possible participant in the scheme although there is currently no probe open against him.
Temer is also embroiled in a case at the country's electoral court where he is accused of the same accounting practices that are being used to charge Rousseff. He could eventually face impeachment himself.
(This story has not been edited by NDTV staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)
But while Rousseff faces the possible end of her political career, Brazil's problems appear far from over. Here's a look at how Latin America's biggest country got into the mess -- and what could happen next.
What Rousseff's accused of
The impeachment case against Brazil's first female president rests on charges that she illegally juggled government accounts and took state loans to mask the depth of shortfalls during her 2014 reelection.
She says that's not an impeachable offense -- that it was actually an accounting trick used consistently by previous governments.
But the impeachment drive is also fueled by massive disillusion in Brazil over a steep recession and revelations of a corruption network involving top politicians and business executives who colluded to steal from state oil company Petrobras.
Huge anti-government street rallies over the last year underlined that discontent.
Then the breakup of an uncomfortable coalition between her leftist Workers' Party and the center-right PMDB left Rousseff helpless when the lower house of Congress voted in April on sending her to the Senate for possible trial.
What happens in the Senate?
On Friday a committee recommended that Rousseff face impeachment.
Next Wednesday, all 81 senators will start voting on whether to open that trial. The process could stretch into Thursday or beyond.
Only a simple majority is needed and analysts are near certain that the pro-impeachment camp will prevail.
That will trigger Rousseff's suspension for 180 days and Vice President Michel Temer, who has gone from coalition partner to principal opponent, would take over as acting president.
Rousseff would quit the executive offices but can stay in her presidential residence on half pay. Temer is expected to fire her ministers and install his own government.
A trial could take months to unfold, ending with a vote on whether to impeach the president. This time a two thirds majority would be needed.
If Rousseff is removed from office, Temer would take her place until new elections scheduled for 2018.
Analysts are less certain about the outcome of the final vote, though most think it is more likely that Rousseff would be ejected.
Would Rousseff's exit solve everything?
The short answer is no.
A president who is highly unpopular would be gone. But few ordinary Brazilians see Temer as a savior, with a Datafolha poll in April finding only two percent of the country would vote for him in a presidential election.
The constitutional lawyer would face an enraged leftist opposition and much of the same mess that sank Rousseff, especially a floundering economy that grew too dependent on high oil and other commodity prices.
The Petrobras corruption scandal has also yet to play out.
Prosecutors are investigating everybody from Rousseff to another opposition leader, Aecio Neves. Temer has been named several times as a possible participant in the scheme although there is currently no probe open against him.
Temer is also embroiled in a case at the country's electoral court where he is accused of the same accounting practices that are being used to charge Rousseff. He could eventually face impeachment himself.
(This story has not been edited by NDTV staff and is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)
Track Latest News Live on NDTV.com and get news updates from India and around the world
